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The Great Wealth Transfer: A New Era of Opportunity in Simi Valley, California

The Great Wealth Transfer: A New Era of Opportunity

In recent years, there’s been a significant shift in how wealth is distributed among generations. It’s called the Great Wealth Transfer.

Historically, the transfer of wealth from one generation to the next was a more gradual process, often limited to smaller amounts of inheritance or family savings. But today, the scale has increased in a big way. As a recent article from Bankrate says:

“The biggest wave of wealth in history is about to pass from Baby Boomers over the next 20 years, and it’s going to have major impacts on many facets of life. Called The Great Wealth Transfer, $84 trillion is poised to move from older Americans to Gen X and millennials. If it’s managed smartly, Americans will be able to grow their wealth and ensure their financial security.”

Basically, as more Baby Boomers retire, sell businesses, or downsize their homes, more substantial assets are being passed down to younger generations. And this creates a powerful ripple effect that’ll continue over the next few decades. The graph below uses data from Merrill and Cerulli Associates to give you an idea of how much inherited money is set to change hands through 2045:

Impact on the Housing Market

One of the most immediate effects of this wealth transfer is on the housing market. Home affordability has been a concern for many aspiring buyers, especially in high-demand areas. The increase in generational wealth is expected to ease some of these challenges by providing future homeowners with greater financial resources. As assets are passed down through generations, buyers may find themselves in a better position to afford homes. Merrill talks about that benefit in a recent article:

“While millennials face steep barriers . . . to buying a first home in many markets, ‘that’s a for-now story, not a forever story’ . . . The Great Wealth Transfer should enable more of them to become homeowners — or trade up or add a second home — either through inherited property or the funds for a down payment.”

Impact on the Economy

But the Great Wealth Transfer doesn’t just impact housing. It’s also going to provide a new avenue for entrepreneurial spirits to fuel economic growth. If someone is looking to start a business and they’re receiving funds like this, that money can used as the necessary capital to start a new company. This helps the next generation of innovators and business owners bring their ideas to life.

Bottom Line

While affordability remains a challenge in today’s housing market, the ongoing Great Wealth Transfer is poised to unlock new opportunities. As wealth is passed down and put to use, it’s expected to ease some of the barriers to homeownership and fuel other entrepreneurial endeavors.

Posted in: Market Update Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Affordability, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, Economy, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

Home Inspections For Sellers: How To Prepare in Prescott, Arizona

Posted in: Infographics, Seller Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Best Time to Sell, Build Equity, Building Equity, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, For Sellers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, List Your House, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Right Time To Sell, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

Where Will You Go After You Sell in Phoenix, Arizona?

Where Will You Go After You Sell?

If you’re planning to sell your house and move, you probably know there’s been a shortage of options available. But here’s the good news: the supply of homes for sale has grown in a lot of markets this year – and that’s not just existing, or previously-owned, homes. It’s true for newly built homes too.

So how do you decide which route to go? Do you buy an existing home or a brand-new one? The choice is yours – you just need to figure out what’s most important to you.

Perks of a Newly Built Home

Here are some benefits of buying a newly built home right now:

  • Have brand new everything with never-been-used appliances and materials
  • Use energy efficient options to save money and leave a smaller footprint
  • Minimize the need for repairs and benefit from builder warranties
  • Take advantage of builder concessions that can help with affordability

In today’s market, a lot of builders are focusing on selling their current inventory before they add more homes to their mix. And some of them are offering concessions and are more willing to negotiate to make a sale happen.

That, coupled with the fact builders are primarily building smaller, more affordable homes, has led to one other potential perk. The median price for a newly built home in today’s market is actually lower than the median price of an existing home – which isn’t usually the case. Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, shares:

 “Homebuyers who are looking for that ‘new-home smell’ may be in a relatively friendlier market than times past when new homes were considerably more expensive than used ones.”

If you’re interested in seeing what builders nearby have to offer, lean on your real estate agent. Their knowledge of local builders, new communities, and builder contracts will be important in this process.

Perks of an Existing Home

Now, let’s compare that to the benefits of buying an existing home.

  • Join an established neighborhood that you can get a feel for before moving in
  • Choose from a wider variety of floorplans and styles
  • Appreciate the lived-in charm that only an older home can provide
  • Enjoy the privacy and curb appeal of mature trees and landscaping

In addition to these lifestyle benefits, there’s strategic value to buying an existing home, too. Remember, you can always make upgrades to an existing home down the road to give it some of the latest features available. This gives you the best of both worlds: you’ll get the charm, the neighborhood, and over time, you can still add those on-trend elements you may see in a brand-new home. And if you do, you’ll likely increase the home’s value too. An article from LendingTree explains:

“. . . they can personalize it and possibly increase its potential resale value with cosmetic upgrades . . . Plus, if a home comes with physical details or stories that add charm, in some cases, these elements are attractive enough to add to a home’s resale value . . .”

Want to see what’s available? Your real estate agent can show you what homes are for sale in your area, so you can see if there’s one that works for you and your needs.

Bottom Line

There are a lot of factors that go into deciding whether to buy an existing home or a newly built one after you sell, but it’s essential in today’s market to understand the opportunities you can find in both. Let’s connect so you have expert guidance as you explore the options in our area.

Posted in: Buyer Tips, Seller Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Affordability, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, New Construction, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

Mortgage Rates Down a Full Percent from Recent High in Oxnard, California

Mortgage Rates Down a Full Percent from Recent High

Mortgage rates have been one of the hottest topics in the housing market lately because of their impact on affordability. And if you’re someone who’s looking to make a move, you’ve probably been waiting eagerly for rates to come down for that very reason. Well, if the past few weeks are any indication, you may be getting your wish.

Mortgage Rates Trend Down in Recent Weeks

There’s big news for mortgage rates. After the latest reports on the economy, inflation, the unemployment rate, and the Federal Reserve’s recent comments, mortgage rates started dropping a bit. And according to Freddie Mac, they’re now at a level we haven’t seen since February. To help show the downward trend, check out the graph below:

No Caption ReceivedMaybe you’re seeing this and wondering if you should ride the wave and see how low they’ll go. If that’s the case, here’s some important perspective. Remember, the record-low rates from the pandemic are a thing of the past. If you’re holding out hope to see a 3% mortgage rate again, you’re waiting for something experts agree won’t happen. As Greg McBride, Chief Financial Analyst at Bankrate, says: 

“The hopes for lower interest rates need the reality check that ‘lower’ doesn’t mean we’re going back to 3% mortgage rates. . . the best we may be able to hope for over the next year is 5.5 to 6%.”

And with the decrease in recent weeks, you’ve got a big opportunity in front of you right now. It may be enough for you to want to jump back in.

The Relationship Between Rates and Demand 

If you wait for mortgage rates to drop further, you might find yourself dealing with more competition as other buyers re-ignite their home searches too.

In the housing market, there’s generally a relationship between mortgage rates and buyer demand. Typically, the higher rates are, the lower buyer demand is. But when rates start to come down, things change. Buyers who were on the fence over higher rates will resume their searches. Here’s what that means for you. As a recent article from Bankrate says:

“If you’re ready to buy, now might be the time to strike. Home prices have been rising primarily because of a longstanding shortage of homes for sale. That’s unlikely to change, and if mortgage rates do fall below 6%, it’s possible buyers would enter the market en masse, further pushing up prices and resurrecting bidding wars.”

Bottom Line

If you’ve been waiting to make your move, the recent downward trend in mortgage rates may be enough to get you off the sidelines. Rates have hit their lowest point in months, and that gives you the opportunity to jump back in before all the other buyers do too.

If you’re ready and able to start the process, reach out and let’s get started.

Posted in: Mortgage Rates and Updates Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

Helpful Negotiation Tactics for Today’s Housing Market in Camarillo, California

Helpful Negotiation Tactics for Today’s Housing Market

If you haven’t already heard, homebuyers are regaining some negotiating power in today’s market. And while that doesn’t make this a buyer’s market, it does mean buyers may be able to ask for a little more. So, sellers need to be ready for that possibility and know what they’re willing to negotiate.

Whether you’re looking to buy or sell a house, here’s a quick rundown of potential negotiations that may pop up during your transaction. That way, you’re prepared no matter which side of the deal you’re on.

What Can You Negotiate?

Most things in a home purchase are on the negotiation table. Here’s a list of just a few of those options, according to Kiplinger and LendingTree:

  • Sale Price: The most obvious is the price of the home. And that lever is being pulled more often today. Buyers don’t want to overpay when affordability is already so tight. And sellers who aren’t realistic about their asking price may have to consider adjusting their price.
  • Home Repairs: Based on the inspection, a buyer is within their rights to ask the seller to make reasonable repairs. If the seller doesn’t want to do that, they could offer to reduce the home price or cover some closing costs, so the buyer has the money to take them on themselves.
  • Fixtures: Buyers can also ask for appliances or furniture to convey when the house changes hands. Having the seller throw in the washer and dryer cuts down on expenses the buyer would have when moving in. As the seller, you could leave your existing ones behind to sweeten the deal for your buyer, and get yourself new ones for your next place.
  • Closing Costs: Closing costs typically run about 2-5% of the home’s purchase price. Buyers can ask the seller to pay for some or all of these expenses to offset the cash the buyer has to bring to the table. 
  • Home Warranties: Buyers can also ask the seller to pay for a home warranty. This is great for buyers worried about the maintenance costs that may pop up after taking possession of the home. And since this concession usually isn’t terribly expensive for the seller, it can be a good option for both parties.
  • Closing Date: Buyers can ask for a faster or extended closing window based on their own timetable. The seller can also advocate for what they need based on their move to find the right compromise.

One thing is true whether you’re a buyer or a seller, and that’s how much your agent can help you throughout the process. Your agent is your go-to for any back-and-forth. They’ll handle the conversations and advocate for your best interests along the way. As Bankrate says:

“Agents have expert negotiating skills. Without one, you must negotiate the terms of the contract on your own.”

They may also be able to uncover what the buyer or seller is looking for in their discussions with the other agent. And that insight can be really valuable at the negotiation table.

Bottom Line

Buyers are regaining a bit of negotiation power in today’s market. Buyers, knowing what levers you can pull will help you feel confident and empowered going into your purchase. Sellers, having a heads up of what they may ask for gives you the chance to think through what you’ll be willing to offer.

Want to chat more about what to expect and the options you have? Let’s connect.

Posted in: Seller Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Agent Value, Arizona, Best Time to Sell, Build Equity, Building Equity, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, List Your House, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, reasons to sell, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Potential, Selling Tips, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

3 Reasons Why We’re Not Headed for a Housing Crash in Simi Valley, California

Posted in: Infographics Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Avoid Foreclosure, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, foreclosure, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Myths, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Unlikely Flood of Foreclosures, Ventura, Wealth Building

Should You Rent Out or Sell Your House in Prescott Valley, Arizona?

Should You Rent Out or Sell Your House?

Figuring out what to do with your house when you’re ready to move can be a big decision. Should you sell it and use the money for your next adventure, or keep it as a rental to build long-term wealth?

It’s a question many homeowners face, and the answer isn’t always straightforward. Whether you’re curious about the potential income from renting or worried about the responsibilities of being a landlord, there’s a lot to consider.

Let’s walk through some key questions to ask to help you make the best decision for your situation.

Is Your House a Good Fit for Renting?

Even if you’re interested in becoming a landlord, your current house might not be ideal for renting. Maybe you’re moving far away, so keeping up with the ongoing maintenance would be a hassle, the neighborhood isn’t great for rentals, or the house needs significant repairs before you could rent it out.

If any of this sounds like it might apply, selling might be your best option.

Are You Ready for the Realities of Being a Landlord?

Managing a rental property isn’t just about collecting rent checks. It’s a time-consuming and sometimes challenging job.

For example, you may get calls from tenants at all hours of the day with maintenance requests. Or you may find a tenant causes damage you have to repair before the next lease starts. You may even have to deal with people falling behind on payments or breaking their lease early. Investopedia highlights:

“It isn’t difficult to find horror stories of landlords troubled with more headaches than profits. Before deciding to rent, consider talking to other landlords and doing a detailed cost analysis. You might find that selling your home is a better financial decision and less stressful.”

Do You Have a Good Understanding of What It’ll Cost?

If you’re thinking about renting out your home primarily to generate extra income, remember that there are additional costs you’ll want to plan for. As an article from Bankrate explains:

  • Mortgage and Property Taxes: You still need to pay these expenses, even if the rent doesn’t cover all of it.
  • Insurance: Landlord insurance costs about 25% more than regular home insurance, and it’s necessary to cover damages and injuries.
  • Maintenance and Repairs: Plan to spend at least 1% of the home’s value annually, more if the home is older.
  • Finding a Tenant: This involves advertising costs and potentially paying for background checks.
  • Vacancies: If the property sits empty between tenants, you’ll lose rental income.
  • Management and HOA Fees: A property manager can ease the burden, but typically charges about 10% of the rent. HOA fees are an additional cost too, if applicable.

Bottom Line

To sum it all up, selling or renting out your home is a personal decision that depends on your circumstances. Whatever you decide, taking the time to evaluate your options will help you make the best choice for your future.

Make sure to weigh the pros and cons carefully and consult with professionals so you feel supported and informed as you make your decision. That’s what we’re here for.

Posted in: Seller Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, For Sellers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, home selling, Homebuyer, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, List Your House, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Renting, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Myths, Selling Potential, Selling Tips, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

The Biggest Mistakes Sellers Are Making Right Now in Scottsdale, Arizona.

The Biggest Mistakes Sellers Are Making Right Now

The housing market is going through a transition. Higher mortgage rates are causing more moderate buyer activity at the same time the supply of homes for sale is growing.

And if you aren’t working with an agent, you may not realize that. Here’s the downside. If you’re not informed, you can’t adjust your strategy or expectations to today’s market. And that can lead to a number of costly mistakes.

Here’s a look at some of the most common ones – and how an agent will help you avoid them when you sell.

1. Overpricing Your House

Many sellers set their asking price too high and that’s why there’s an uptick in homes with price reductions today. An unrealistic price will deter potential buyers, cause an appraisal issue, or lead to your house sitting on the market longer. An article from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:

“Some sellers are pricing their homes higher than ever just because they can, but this may drive away serious buyers and result in unapproved appraisals . . .”

To avoid falling into this trap, partner with a pro. An agent uses recent sales of similar homes, the condition of your house, local market trends, and so much more to find the price that’ll attract more buyers and open the door for multiple offers and a faster sale.

2. Skipping the Small Stuff

You may try to skip important repairs, thinking you can pass the task on to your buyer. But visible issues (even if they’re small) can turn off potential buyers and result in lower offers or demands for concessions. As Money Talks News says:

“Home shoppers like to turn on lights, flush toilets and run the water. If these basic things don’t work, they may assume you’ve skipped other maintenance. Homes that appear neglected aren’t likely to fetch top price.”

If you want to get your house ready to sell, the best place to turn to for advice is your agent. They’ll be able to do a walk-through with you and point out anything you’ll need to tackle before the photographer comes in.

3. Not Looking at Things Objectively

Buyers today are feeling the pinch of high home prices and mortgage rates. With affordability that tight, they may come in with an offer that’s lower than you’d want to see – especially if you didn’t stage, price, or market the house well.

It’s important you don’t take this personally. Getting overly emotional can put the sale at risk. As an article from Ramsey Solutions says:

“Remember, a buyer’s offer is not a reflection of their opinion of your home or your housekeeping abilities. . . The sale of your home is strictly a business transaction. If they start out with a low offer, don’t take it personally and get emotional. Instead, channel that energy toward negotiating. Work with your agent and make a counteroffer.”

4. Being Unwilling To Negotiate

The supply of homes for sale has grown. That means buyers have more options, and with that comes more negotiation power. As a seller, you may see more buyers getting an inspection, requesting repairs, or asking for help with closing costs today. You need to be prepared to have those conversations. As U.S. News Real Estate explains:

“If you’ve received an offer for your house that isn’t quite what you’d hoped it would be, expect to negotiate . . . the only way to come to a successful deal is to make sure the buyer also feels like he or she benefits . . . consider offering to cover some of the buyer’s closing costs or agree to a credit for a minor repair the inspector found.”

An agent will walk you through what levers you may want to pull based on your own goals, budget, and timeframe.

5. Not Using a Real Estate Agent

Notice anything? For each of these mistakes, partnering with an agent helps prevent them from happening in the first place. That makes trying to sell your house without an agent’s help the biggest mistake of all.

Real estate agents have experience and expertise in pricing, marketing, negotiating, and more. That knowledge streamlines the selling process and usually results in drumming up more interest and ultimately can get you a higher final price.

Bottom Line

If you want to avoid making mistakes like these, let’s connect to make sure you’re set up for success.

Posted in: Seller Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Best Time to Sell, Build Equity, Building Equity, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, For Sellers, Good Time to Sell, Great Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, home selling, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, List Your House, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, reasons to sell, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Right Time To Sell, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Myths, Selling Potential, Selling Tips, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

Unlocking the Benefits of Your Home’s Equity in Ventura, California

Posted in: Home Tips Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, market trends, mortgage rates, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Myths, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

How the Economy Impacts Mortgage Rates in Camarillo, California.

How the Economy Impacts Mortgage Rates

As someone who’s thinking about buying or selling a home, you’re probably paying close attention to mortgage rates – and wondering what’s ahead.

One thing that can affect mortgage rates is the Federal Funds Rate, which influences how much it costs banks to borrow money from each other. While the Federal Reserve (the Fed) doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, they do control the Federal Funds Rate.

The relationship between the two is why people have been watching closely to see when the Fed might lower the Federal Funds Rate. Whenever they do, that’ll put downward pressure on mortgage rates. The Fed meets next week, and three of the most important metrics they’ll look at as they make their decision are:

  1. The Rate of Inflation
  2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding
  3. The Unemployment Rate

Here’s the latest data on all three.

1. The Rate of Inflation

You’ve probably heard a lot about inflation over the past year or two – and you’ve likely felt it whenever you’ve gone to buy just about anything. That’s because high inflation means prices have been going up quickly.

The Fed has stated its goal is to get the rate of inflation back down to 2%. Right now, it’s still higher than that, but moving in the right direction (see graph below):

2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding

The Fed is also watching how many new jobs are created each month. They want to see job growth slow down consistently before taking any action on the Federal Funds Rate. If fewer jobs are created, it means the economy is still strong but cooling a bit – which is their goal. That appears to be exactly what’s happening now. Inman says:

“. . . the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employers added fewer jobs in April and May than previously thought and that hiring by private companies was sluggish in June.”

So, while employers are still adding jobs, they’re not adding as many as before. That’s an indicator the economy is slowing down after being overheated for quite some time. This is an encouraging trend for the Fed to see.

3. The Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate is the percentage of people who want to work but can’t find jobs. So, a low rate means a lot of Americans are employed. That’s a good thing for many people.

But it can also lead to higher inflation because more people working means more spending – which drives up prices. Right now, the unemployment rate is low, but it’s been rising slowly over the past few months (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedIt may seem harsh, but a consistently rising unemployment rate is something the Fed needs to see before deciding to cut the Federal Funds Rate. That’s because a higher unemployment rate would mean reduced spending, and that would help get inflation back under control.

What Does This Mean Moving Forward?

While mortgage rates are going to continue to be volatile in the days and months ahead, these are signs the economy is headed in the direction the Fed wants to see. But even with that, it’s unlikely they’ll cut the Federal Funds Rate when they meet next week. Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, recently said:

“We want to be more confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 2% before we start the process of reducing or loosening policy.”

Basically, we’re seeing the first signs now, but they need more data and more time to feel confident that this is a consistent trend. Assuming that direction continues, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, experts say there’s a projected 96.1% chance the Fed will lower the Federal Funds Rate at their September meeting.

Remember, the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates. It’s just that whenever they decide to cut the Federal Funds Rate, mortgage rates should respond.

Of course, the timing of when the Fed takes action could change because of new economic reports, world events, and other factors. That’s why it’s usually not a good idea to try to time the market.

Bottom Line

Recent economic data may signal that hope is on the horizon for mortgage rates. Let’s connect so you have an expert to keep you up to date on the latest trends and what they mean for you.

Posted in: Mortgage Rates and Updates Tagged: Addington Realty Group, Adjustable-Rate Mortgage, Arizona, Build Equity, Building Equity, Buy a Home, buying myths, California, Camarillo, Downsizing, equity homeowner, Equity Rich, First Time Home Buyers, Good Time to Sell, Hedge Against Inflation, Home Affordability, Home Equity, home prices, Homebuyer, Homebuyers, Homebuying, Homeownership, housing market, Housing Market Update, Housing Market Updates, Inflation, Leverage Your Equity, Low Inventory, Low Mortgage Delinquency Rates, market trends, Mortagage Loans, mortgage, Mortgage rate, mortgage rates, Mortgage Trends, Move-Up Home Buyers, Oxnard, Phoenix, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Price Appreciation, Pricing, Real Estate, Real Estate Agent, Real Estate Broker, Real Estate Expert, Real Estate Market, Realtor, Rent vs Buy, Right Price, Scottsdale, Sell Your House, Sellers Market, Selling Myths, Selling Potential, Selling Your House, Simi Valley, Things Realtors See, Thousand Oaks, Trusted Realtor, Ventura, Wealth Building

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